Taylor Fritz vs Matteo Gigante prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Indian Wells Open 2025

Fritz is playing in the Indian Wells Open 2025 as an ATP top-five player for the first time. 

A few days after knocking out the 2025 Rio Open champion Sebastian Baez, Italian qualifier and World No. 217 Matteo Gigante will take on World No. 4 Taylor Fritz. Gigante is making his maiden appearance in the Indian Wells Open 2025, which got off to a promising start with a win over 34th-ranked Baez.  

Matteo Gigante scored 24 winners and converted six breakpoints en route to his 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 victory over the Argentine. The unseeded Gigante will face off against Taylor Fritz soon after the tournament lost its top seed, Alexander Zverev, in the second round. 

The American made his way to the Californian desert after a quarter-final loss in Delray Beach. The round-of-eight loss meant that Fritz would not become the first man to win three in a row at the ATP 250 event.

Third seed Fritz was the winner at Indian Wells in 2022. He bagged victory by defeating Rafael Nadal in the finals. The top-ranked American will seek another title run on his home turf when he opens his campaign on Sunday.

Match Details

• Tournament: Indian Wells Open 2025 Men’s Singles
• Round: Second round
• Date: March 9
• Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, Indian Wells, United States
• Surface: Hard

Also Read: Indian Wells Open 2025: Updated schedule, fixtures, results, live streaming details

Preview

Taylor Fritz leads as the face of American tennis and is its top-ranked player. On Sunday, he will take on Matteo Gigante as he looks to advance and make amends for the quarter-final exit last season. Fritz will be keen to put early losses in Dallas and Florida behind him even as he copes with the high expectations of being the No. 1 American in the men’s tour.   

Gigante will be on a high after his strong performance to eliminate Sebastian Baez, a top 50 player, in the opening round. The win over Baez was the biggest by ranking for World No. 217 Gigante. 

The Italian stormed through two rounds of qualifying without dropping a set. By subduing Baez for his maiden win at the venue, he has given a reason for Fritz to be cautious as he prepares to take on the Italian in the second round.

Also Read: Indian Wells Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money and points on offer

Form

• Taylor Fritz: L-W-L-W-L
• Matteo Gigante: W-W-W-L-L

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 0
• Taylor Fritz: 0
• Matteo Gigante: 0

Also Read: Top 10 players to watch at Indian Wells Open 2025

Stats

Taylor Fritz:

• Fritz has an 8-4 win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• Fritz has a 20-7 win-loss record in Indian Wells.
• Fritz has won 61% of matches played on hard courts.

Matteo Gigante:

• Gigante has a 1-1 win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• Gigante is making his Indian Wells debut.
• Gigante has won 50% of matches played on hard courts.

Taylor Fritz vs Matteo Gigante: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Fritz -1200, Gigante +900.
• Spread: Fritz -5.5 (+110), Gigante +5.5 (-120). 
• Total Games: Over 19.5 (-114), Under 19.5 (-102).

Match Prediction

Gigante is often spotted on the Challenger Tour than playing at the big-ticket events. Making just his second main draw appearance at an ATP 1000 event, the unseeded Italian will be confident of putting on a good show against the third-seeded Fritz. 

Gigante will have set his sights on coming through qualifying and reaching the second round at the Masters for the first time. Back among the top 200 in the ATP live rankings, the Italian will be looking to take the fight to Fritz.

Also Read: Top five title favourites in men’s singles at Indian Wells Open 2025

Fritz, in contrast, is the more experienced of the duo. The World No. 4 has an Indian Wells title under his belt, having lifted the trophy in 2022. Sidelined from Acapulco due to an abdominal injury, Fritz will be determined to make his presence felt at a home event.

Given Gigante’s lack of experience on the big stage, a comfortable win for Fritz would be the logical outcome.

Result: Fritz would win in straight sets

Where and how to watch the live streaming and TV broadcast of the second-round match between Taylor Fritz and Matteo Gigante at the Indian Wells Open 2025?

SonyLiv and the Sony Network offer detailed coverage of the Indian Wells Open 2025 in the Indian subcontinent. Sky UK and the Tennis Channel provide live streaming of the event in the United Kingdom and the United States.

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