Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Indian Wells Open 2025

Both players haven’t won a hard-court title since 2024.

An exciting third-round match is set to take place between two extremely talented players at the Indian Wells Open 2025. Alex de Minaur started the season well with another quarter-final outing at his home Slam and followed it by making the finals of the ATP Rotterdam event before losing to Carlos Alcaraz in the finals.

The Australian has been consistent since the past year but has struggled against the big names in the game and has yet to establish his authority at the world stage. On the other hand, Hubert Hurkacz has had a career marred by injuries and finally seems to be in shape ahead of a crucial season.

Also Read: Indian Wells Open 2025: Updated schedule, fixtures, results, live streaming details

The Pole has competed in just three tournaments so far and will be eyeing a deep run. Hurkacz hasn’t had the best of results, with a semi-final appearance in Rotterdam being the only notable performance so far.

Match details

• Tournament: Indian Wells Open 2025
• Stage: Third round
• Date: March 11 (Tuesday)
• Time: 12:40 AM IST
• Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, California
• Surface: Hard Court (outdoor)

Preview

The Australian has reached the fourth round in three of his past four visits to Indian Wells but is yet to go further. He has won 12 of his 16 matches in 2025, thanks to a sensational win over David Goffin in the second round.

World No. 9 Alex de Minaur faced a brutal defeat to eventual winner Jannik Sinner in the quarterfinal of the Australian Open and then lost to, arguably, the second-best player on tour, Carlos Alcaraz, in Rotterdam. Once again, he fell to the eventual champion Andrey Rublev in Qatar and was stunned by Marin Cilic in the first round of the Dubai Open.

Also Read: Indian Wells Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money and points on offer

Hurkacz’s outings, barring the Rotterdam Open, have been disappointing. The Pole was knocked out of the Australian Open in the second round by Miomir Kecmanovic and then upset by the unseeded Zhang Zhizhen at the Open 13. A two-time quarter-finalist at Indian Wells, the 21st seed will hope to rediscover form at the Tennis Paradise.

Form

• Alex de Minaur: W-L-L-W-W
• Hubert Hurkacz: W-L-L-W-W

Head-to-Head

• Matches – 2
• Alex de Minaur – 1
• Hubert Hurkacz – 1

Also Read: Indian Wells Open: Full list of winners

Alex de Minaur and Hubert Hurkacz are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head record. De Minaur claimed victory in their first meeting at the 2018 Atlanta Open, while Hurkacz evened the score with a straight-sets win at the 2019 Madrid Open.

Stats

Alex de Minaur

• De Minaur has a 12-4 win-loss record in 2025 so far
• De Minaur has a 9-7 win-loss record at Indian Wells
• De Minaur reached the fourth round at Indian Wells 2024

Hubert Hurkacz

• Hurkacz is 5-3 in 2025 so far
• Hurkacz has an 11-5 win-loss record at Indian Wells
• Hurkacz reached the second round at Indian Wells 2024

Also Read: Top 10 players to watch at Indian Wells Open 2025

Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Hurkacz +175, De Minaur -225
• Spread: Hurkacz +2.5 (1.91), De Minaur -2.5 (1.83)
• Total games: Over 22.5 (+1.83), Under 22.5 (-1.91)

Match Prediction:

Traditionally a strong server, the Pole has a solid track record on hard courts and will aim to capitalize on his serve while applying pressure on the return. On the other hand, De Minaur’s versatile all-court game could shine if he finds the right balance between controlled aggression and steady defense, making for an intriguing matchup.

Also Read: Top five title favourites in men’s singles at Indian Wells Open 2025

While these two have faced off twice before, their last meeting was in 2019, meaning both players will need to adapt to each other’s evolved game styles to gain an edge in this contest. Neither player has been in top form recently, but they are expected to deliver an entertaining contest, with a fourth-round berth at stake.

Result: Alex de Minaur will win in three sets.

Where and how to watch the live streaming and TV broadcast of the third-round match between Alex de Minaur and Hubert Hurkacz at Indian Wells Open 2025?

The Sony Network will cover the Indian Wells Open third-round match between Alex de Minaur and Hubert Hurkacz in India, complemented by its streaming service, SonyLiv.

Viewers in the United Kingdom can tune in to Sky UK for live coverage of the Indian Wells tournament. Tennis Channel offers live streaming of the ATP-1000 event within the United States.

For more updates, follow Khel Now on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram; download the Khel Now Android App or IOS App and join our community on Whatsapp & Telegram