Alexander Zverev vs Roberto Bautista Agut prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Madrid Open 2025

Zverev is on a five-match winning streak against Agut.

Alexander Zverev will face Roberto Bautista Agut soon after winning his third BMW Open title in Munich. Zverev’s chances of a third Madrid Open title got brighter following a last-minute withdrawal by Carlos Alcaraz. Zverev has taken the lead in the battle for the No.2 spot with Alcaraz, a position that will be further strengthened after the German’s deep run in the Spanish capital.

Roberto Bautista Agut moved into the second round after a three-set win over fellow Spaniard Jaume Munar. The 37-year-old Agut edged his younger opponent, 6-4, 2-6, 6-3, to set up the second-round clash with Zverev, their first since the 2023 Monte-Carlo Masters.

Agut survived despite making 37 unforced errors to his 36 winners. The veteran converted 5 out of 6 breakpoint opportunities during his time on court. The unseeded Agut faces a resurgent Zverev, who is showing signs of recovery after a sluggish start to the season. 

Match Details

• Tournament: Madrid Open 2025 Men’s Singles
• Round: Second round
• Date: April 25
• Venue: Manzanares Park, Madrid, Spain
• Surface: Clay

Also Read: Madrid Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money & points on offer

Preview

The German is a two-time Madrid Open winner (2018 and 2021) and will have momentum in his favour after his Munich victory on home soil, where he defeated Ben Shelton in Sunday’s final. 

Zverev will look to make a strong start against his Spanish rival. Agut was a semi-finalist in 2014 but has not progressed beyond the second round since 2017. The German himself will look to make amends for two consecutive fourth-round exits in the 2023 and 2024 seasons at the ATP 1000 event. 

Form

• Alexander Zverev: W-W-W-W-W
• Roberto Bautista Agut: W-L-L-W-L

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 7
• Alexander Zverev: 5
• Roberto Bautista Agut: 2

Also Read: Madrid Open 2025: Live streaming, TV channel, where & how to watch?

Stats

Alexander Zverev:

• Zverev has a 19-7 win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• Zverev has a 23-5 win-loss record in Madrid.
• Zverev has won 73% of matches played on clay courts.

Roberto Bautista Agut:

• Agut has a 4-10 win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• Agut has a 14-10 win-loss record in Madrid.
• Agut has won 56% of matches played on clay courts.

Alexander Zverev vs Roberto Bautista Agut: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Zverev -900, Agut +740.
• Spread: Zverev-4.5 (-145), Agut +5.5 (-132). 
• Total games: Over 19.5 (-128), Under 20.5 (-125).

Match Prediction

Roberto Bautista Agut is the first hurdle Alexander Zverev will have to cross in his quest for a third Madrid Open title. While Agut posted a comfortable win over fellow Spaniard Jaume Munar in the opening round, he is unlikely to trouble the top seed. 

Also Read: Top five title favourites in men’s singles at Madrid Open 2025

Zverev has a 5-2 lead in head-to-head matches, having last lost to Agut a decade ago in Rotterdam. Since then, the German has won all five career meetings. The last time Agut pushed Zverev to the limit was during their three-set quarter-final match in Halle in 2017, which saw two tiebreaks being played before the German sealed victory. 

The top seed is familiar with the playing conditions at La Caja Magica, and Zverev is likely to have a comfortable straight-sets win. Bautista Agut will have the home-court advantage against Zverev, but it may not be enough to nullify Zverev’s game in this instance.

Result: Zvrerev will win in straight sets.

Where and how to watch the live telecast and live streaming of the second-round match between Alexander Zverev and Roberto Bautista Agut at the Madrid Open 2025?

The second-round match between Alexander Zverev and Roberto Bautista Agut will be live telecast and streamed on the Sony Network in India. Sky UK will broadcast the event across the United Kingdom, while the Tennis Channel will do the same for tennis fans in the United States.

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