Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Wimbledon 2025

Anirudh, an engineer by training, has been contributing to Khel Now since 2024. He loves crafting inspiring stories.

Published at :July 6, 2025 at 4:34 PM

Modified at :July 6, 2025 at 5:22 PM

The World No. 1 survived a hard-fought battle against home favourite Emma Raducanu.

Aryna Sabalenka showcased her clutch genes on centre court, in her third round clash against local hope Emma Raducanu. Despite being put under the pressure on multiple occasions, the World No. 1 fought her way back into the contest time and again. With the crowd completely behind the Brit, Sabalenka had to maintain her composure and she did so, in stunning fashion.

In the opening set, the Belarusian had plenty of opportunities to break, but she was unable to convert them, including a 13-minute game on Raducanu’s serve. The top seed was a set point down in the tiebreak, but played a couple of artistic forehands using the angle, to steal the opening set from Emma Raducanu.

However, the 22-year-old Brit found a headstart in the second set, and the crowd was louder than ever, with Raducanu leading 4 games to 1. However, what followed was unprecedented, as the top seed came back from 1-4, to win five games on the trot, ultimately triumphing 6-4, and sending Raducanu packing, much to the disappointment of the home crowd.

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Match details

Tournament: Wimbledon 2025
Round: Fourth round
Date: July 6
Venue: All England Lawn Tennis & Croquet Club, London
Surface: Grass

Preview

Aryna Sabalenka will be aware of the path that lies ahead for her. When she began her campaign, her projected route appeared daunting, but the recent spike in upsets, have eased her route. She will be further buoyed by her latest victories and is set to meet Elise Mertens for a quarter-final berth.

The Belgium knocked out 14th seed Elina Svitolina, avenging her Nottingham Open defeat which took place just a few days back. Mertens had won the Libema Open and is one of the very few WTA players alive at Wimbledon 2025, to have won a pre-event on grass.

However, Sabalenka will enter this clash with a major psychological advantage, due to her staggering record over Mertens. The 27-year-old is currently on a nine-match winning streak against the World No. 24, with their most recent exchange taking place in Madrid this year, which Sabalenka won in straight sets. The winner of their only duel on grass was Sabalenka too, back in 2018 at Eastbourne.

Also Read: Top five shocking results from Wimbledon 2025 second round

Form

Aryna Sabalenka: W-W-W-L-W
Elise Mertens: W-W-W-L-W

Head-to-head record

Matches: 12
Sabalenka: 10
Mertens: 2

Stats

Aryna Sabalenka

Sabalenka has a 45-8 win-loss record in the 2025 season
Sabalenka has a 14-5 win-loss record at Wimbledon
Sabalenka has won 63% of matches played on grass courts

Elise Mertens

Mertens has a 29-12 win-loss record in the 2025 season
Mertens has a 19-9 win-loss record at Wimbledon
Mertens has won 58% of matches played on grass courts

Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens: Betting tips and odds

Moneyline: Sabalenka -450, Mertens +360
Spread: Sabalenka -4.5 (-134), Mertens +4.5 (+106)
Total games: Over 20.5 (-105), Under 20.5 (-110)
1st set winner: Sabalenka -300, Mertens +240
1st set total games: Over 8.5 (-250), Under 9.5 (-152)

Match prediction

A 13th encounter between Sabalenka and Mertens looms, with the top seed entering this contest as a firm favourite. Not only has she been at her dominant and explosive best, but her outrageous record against the Belgium is a massive advantage.

While there have been several unexpected upsets in this marquee event already, within the first five days, Sabalenka is expected to out-muscle and storm her way into a third Wimbledon quarter-final.

Result: Aryna Sabalenka to win in straight sets.

Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens, fourth-round match at Wimbledon 2025?

Viewers in India can tune into Star Sports and Jio Hotstar for live round of 16 action between Aryna Sabalenka and Elise Mertens. Sky Sports will broadcast the contest live in the United Kingdom. The Tennis Channel is the official broadcaster within the United States. Full details here

What time is Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens match today?

Sabalenka vs Mertens match will be played on centre court and it has an expected start time of 2:30 pm local time (7:00 pm IST). Action at centre court will begin at 1:30 pm local time (6:00 PM) and Sabalenka’s match is second on the list.

What is the head-to-head (h2h) record between Aryna Sabalenka and Elise Mertens?

Both players have faced each other 12 times and Sabalenka has won 10 of those meetings while Mertens has won only twice.

Who is the favourite to win this match?

Aryna Sabalenka has won the last nine meetings against Mertens, including the most recent clash at Madrid Masters earlier this year. She has also won their only grass meeting that came in 2018.

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Aniruddh Seshadri

Aniruddh Seshadri Iyer is a passionate sports journalist at Khel Now, specializing in tennis and Olympic sports. An engineer by training, he found his storytelling passion through iconic Grand Slam and Olympic moments. Known for sharp analysis and insightful coverage, he draws inspiration from Novak Djokovic’s resilience. Outside journalism, he enjoys reading, traveling, and playing the guitar.