Aryna Sabalenka vs Marie Bouzkova prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Wimbledon 2025

Wimbledon is the only Slam, where Aryna Sabalenka is yet to reach the final.

Following her title round appearance at Roland Garros last month, Wimbledon remains the only major where Aryna Sabalenka is yet to make the finals. On Monday, she took a step in that direction after posting a comfortable 6-1, 7-5 win over Canadian qualifier Carson Branstine in just 73 minutes.

The Belarusian eased into the second round, where she will meet Marie Bouzkova after eliminating the Canadian. Branstine, ranked No. 197 in the WTA and a professional model, was making her Grand Slam debut. To her credit, the Canadian matched Sabalenka’s 17 winners, but also hit 26 unforced errors, eight more than Sabalenka.

Czech Republic’s Marie Bouzkova defeated Lulu Sen in the first round, 6-4, 6-4 in just over 90 minutes. Her opening round loss means the Kiwi departs unable to replicate her 2024 quarter-final run at the venue.

Sun took the lead in the winners department, hitting 32 of them against Bouzkova, who managed only 16 in reply. It was the New Zealander’s unforced errors (30) that thwarted her chances of progressing to the second round.

Also Read: Who is Carson Branstine? Here’s what you need to know about the Canadian Model-tennis player

Match details

• Tournament: Wimbledon 2025
• Round: Second round
• Date: July 2
• Venue: All England Lawn Tennis & Croquet Club, London
• Surface: Grass

Preview

Sabalenka, a two-time SW19 semi-finalist (2021 & 2023), arrived at the grass court major after narrowly missing out on her maiden French Open final. The World No. 1 lost to American Coco Gauff in the title round at Paris. Gauff, World No. 2, is a clear favourite for her first Wimbledon title.

None of the WTA Top 10, apart from Jasmine Paolini, Sabalenka included, have reached the finals at SW19. Yet, Sabalenka has every reason to be optimistic about her chances thanks to a tour-leading 43 match wins and three tour-level titles to her name in 2025. 

The Belarusian’s opponent, Bouzkova, made the quarter-finals at Wimbledon in 2022. The duo are scheduled to play their first-ever match in a Grand Slam event. Sabalenka leads 2-1 in their head-to-head, with all three meetings taking place on hardcourts. 

She could face 2023 champion Marketa Vondrousova in the third round should she get past Bouzkova. Having skipped Wimbledon last season, the top seed has no points to defend and is under no pressure.

Also Read: Aryna Sabalenka’s projected path to Wimbledon 2025 final

Form

• Aryna Sabalenka: W-L-W-W-L
• Marie Bouzkova: W-L-L-W-W

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 3
• Aryna Sabalenka: 2
• Marie Bouzkova: 1

Stats

Aryna Sabalenka

• Sabalenka has a 43-8 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Sabalenka has a 12-5  win-loss record at Wimbledon
• Sabalenka has won 63% of matches played on grass courts

Marie Bouzkova

• Bouzkova has a 16-13 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Bouzkova has a 10-5  win-loss record at Wimbledon
• Bouzkova has won 50% of matches played on grass courts

Aryna Sabalenka vs Marie Bouzkova: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Sabalenka -1115, Bouzkova +720.
• Spread: Sabalenka -6.5 (-105), Bouzkova +6.5 (-130). 
• Total games: Over 18.5 (-117), Under 18.5 (-110).
• 1st set winner: Sabalenka -590, Bouzkova +420.
• 1st set total games: Over 8.5 (-150), Under 8.5 (-112)

Match prediction

Despite having let a second Grand Slam title slip through her fingers in the 2025 season, Sabalenka should have little trouble getting past Bouzkova. The Czech 26-year-old has not made it past the fourth round of a major in the last three years. Her best performance at Wimbledon was the quarter-final appearance in 2022.  

In contrast, Sabalenka has been in excellent form, reaching five finals since Indian Wells in March 2025. The top seed also made a strong start to the grass court swing by reaching the last four at the Berlin Open. Bouzkova’s grass court season got off to a rocky start when she lost to Anna Blinkova in the opening round of the Eastbourne Open in the run-up to Wimbledon.

Result: Aryna Sabalenka to win in straight sets.

Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Aryna Sabalenka vs Marie Bouzkova, second-round match at Wimbledon 2025?

Viewers in India can tune into Star Sports and Jio Hotstar for live second-round action between Aryna Sabalenka and Marie Bouzkova. Sky Sports will broadcast the contest live in the United Kingdom. The Tennis Channel is the official broadcaster within the United States.

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