Daniil Medvedev vs Taylor Fritz prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: ATP Finals 2024

Medvedev takes on 2024 US Open finalist Taylor Fritz in ATP Finals opener.

Fourth seed Daniil Medvedev takes on Taylor Fritz in group stage of ATP Finals 2024 in Turin on Sunday. The Russian star, who clinched the year-end championship in 2020 by beating all top three-ranked players, brings his unconventional yet effective hard-court game to the table.

On the other hand, Fritz who is making just his second appearance at the event enters with something to prove after his breakthrough US Open final run this year.

Match Details

Tournament: ATP Finals 2024

Round: Group Stage

Date: November 10

Venue: Inalpi Arena, Turin, Italy

Surface: Hard Court (Indoor)

Preview

Medvedev’s 2024 campaign has been about near-misses at major events. He suffered a heartbreaking Australian Open final loss to Jannik Sinner after leading by two sets—that put in place two tournament records in the process, including most time spent on court (24 hours, 17 minutes) and most sets played (31).

The Russian followed this with another finals defeat to Carlos Alcaraz at Indian Wells, though he achieved a career milestone by becoming the first player born in the 1990s to complete the career set of both Grand Slam and Masters 1000 quarterfinals.

Taylor Fritz has shown consistency in 2024, particularly on clay which is traditionally his weakest surface. He made history as the first American man to reach the quarterfinals or better at all three clay Masters tournaments.

The 27-year-old American successfully defended his Delray Beach title and reached his maiden Grand Slam final at the US Open but fell to Sinner in straight sets. Fritz’s Olympic campaign yielded a bronze medal in doubles with Tommy Paul.

Form

Daniil Medvedev: L-L-W-W-W

Taylor Fritz: L-L-W-W-W

Head-to-head record

Matches: 1

Daniil Medvedev: 1

Taylor Fritz: 0

Also Read: Meet the eight contenders and their path to qualification for ATP Finals 2024

Stats

Daniil Medvedev

• Medvedev is 28-9 on Hardcourt in 2024
• Medvedev has won three of his last five matches
• Medvedev has not won a single game in Indoor hard court in 2024

Taylor Fritz

• Fritz is 22-10 on Hardcourt in 2024
• Fritz has won three of his last five matches
• Fritz is 1-2 on Indoor hard court in 2024

Daniil Medvedev vs Taylor Fritz Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Medvedev -149, Fritz +120
• Spread: Medvedev -1.5 (-120), Fritz +2.5 (-118)
• Total sets: Over 23.5 (-115), Under 23.5 (-110)

Match prediction

World No. #4 Daniil Medvedev enters as the favourite against Taylor Fritz in the ATP Finals opener at Turin but has had an unusual titleless run this year in 2024. He has a 1-0 head-to-head advantage.

While Medvedev’s recent 6-6 record since the US Open raises eyebrows, his hard-court skill remains formidable with a 28-9 record this season. His defensive style and court coverage particularly suit Turin’s indoor conditions, where he has clinched the 2020 title and finished runner-up in 2021.

Fritz has seven top 10 wins this season, but has his chink in the armour exposed by the 1-2 indoor record on hardcourts.

Also Read: Top five players with most wins in the ATP tour in 2024

Though the American has improved significantly and has reached the US Open final, his 62.3% career win rate on hard courts pales against Medvedev’s impressive 74.1%.

The Russian’s experience in pressure situations with 27 career finals appearances against Fritz’s 14 and combined with his superior 28-19 win-loss record this season on hardcourt should prove decisive. His track record of performing well in round-robin formats at the ATP Finals also gives him an additional edge.

Result: Daniil Medvedev to win in three sets

Where and how to watch live streaming and TV broadcast of Daniil Medvedev vs Taylor Fritz match in ATP Finals 2024?

Fans can watch the ATP Finals 2024 live on SonyLiv in India. The matches will also be shown on TV on Sony Sports Ten 5 and Sony Sports Ten 5 HD channels. In the United States, the event will air on the Tennis Channel and in the United Kingdom, you can catch the action on Sky UK.

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