Novak Djokovic vs Jaime Faria prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Australian Open 2025

Novak Djokovic is eyeing a record 11th Australian Open crown.

A compelling David vs Goliath story will unfold at the Australian Open 2025 as Portuguese qualifier Jaime Faria faces tennis legend Novak Djokovic in the Round of 64. The 21-year-old Lisbon native, ranked 125th globally, achieved his first Grand Slam main draw qualification last week and immediately capitalized with a debut victory.

Faria’s reward? A center court clash with the tournament’s most successful champion. Novak Djokovic, who has hoisted the Norman Brookes Challenge Cup 10 times, enters this matchup following an unexpected early exit at the 2024 US Open, where Alexei Popyrin eliminated him in four sets.

Both players’ recent form shows room for improvement—Faria struggled in US Open qualifying against Lucas Pouille, while Djokovic’s last outing had him fighting back from a set down to win against a 107-ranked opponent. Yet this matchup represents starkly different career moments: a champion’s continued pursuit of excellence versus a young talent’s breakthrough opportunity on tennis’s grandest stage.

Match details

Tournament: Australia Open 2025

Round: Second

Date: January 15, 2025

Venue: Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne

Surface: Hard Court (outside)

Also Read: Novak Djokovic’s projected path to Australian Open 2025 final

Preview

Djokovic will face Jaime Faria in the second round of the 2025 Australian Open on January 15. This marks their first encounter on the ATP Tour. Djokovic, ranked No. #7, is a heavy favourite, with odds at -5000, while Faria is at +1150.

Faria, a promising 21-year-old qualifier, has shown confidence after defeating Pavel Kotov in the first round. He acknowledges the challenge of playing against “the GOAT” but aims to stay calm and focused. Djokovic, aiming for his 25th Grand Slam title, is expected to win decisively, likely in straight sets.

Form

Novak Djokovic: W-L-W-W-L

Jaime Faria: W-W-W-W-L

Head-to-head record

Matches: 0

Novak Djokovic: 0

Jaime Faria: 0

Also Read: Top five title favourites in men’s singles at Australian Open 2025

Stats

Jaime Faria

• Faria holds a strong service game across all surfaces, boasting a 76.2% service game win rate, having secured 99 wins out of 130 service games played.
• In return games, his performance drops significantly, with a 23.4% success rate, winning 29 out of 124 return games across all surfaces.
• Over the past 12 months, Faria has participated in 12 matches across all court surfaces, averaging 21.2 games per match and achieving a win rate of 50.4% in those games.
• On hard courts, Faria’s only match in the past year showcased different metrics, averaging 17.0 games per match and 8.5 games per set, with a win rate of just 29.4% in games played.

Novak Djokovic

• Service dominance defines Djokovic’s game with an exceptional 85.4% hold rate in the past year, showcasing his reliable serve even in extended matches.
• His return game statistics reveal a strong 30.3% break rate against opponents’ serves, demonstrating his balanced offensive capabilities. 
• On hard courts specifically, matches stretch longer with 30.1 games on average, increasing to nearly 33 games in Grand Slam format. 
• Overall match length across all surfaces averages 26.6 games, though five-set encounters typically extend to 31 games, indicating his endurance in major tournaments.

Novak Djokovic vs Jaime Faria Betting tips and odds

Novak Djokovic is heavily favoured with odds of -5000, while Jaime Faria is at +1150. 

Betting tips suggest considering Djokovic to win with over 14.5 aces (odds 2.5) and a total of over 28.5 games (odds 1.79).

Match prediction

Novak Djokovic is heavily favoured to win against Jaime Faria in their first-ever meeting at Australian Open 2025. Predictions suggest Djokovic will likely secure victory in straight sets, with odds indicating a 98% chance of winning. 

His strong form, highlighted by 23 aces in the first round, positions him as the dominant player. Faria, while talented, faces a significant challenge against the experienced Djokovic. Betting insights recommend considering Djokovic to win with over 14.5 aces and Faria’s total games under 9.5 for optimal betting strategies.

Result: Novak Djokovic to beat Jaime Faria in straight sets.

Also Read: “I was poisoned,” Novak Djokovic reveals shocking incident from Australian Open 2022

Where and how to watch live streaming and TV broadcast of Novak Djokovic vs Jaime Faria, second-round match at Australia Open 2025?

The clash between Novak Djokovic and Jaime Faria will be available live on Sony Sports and SonyLiv in India. In the UK, fans can catch all the live action on Eurosport and Discovery+ app, while viewers in the US can watch the match exclusively on the Tennis Channel and ESPN.

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