Carlos Alcaraz vs Jack Draper prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Indian Wells Open 2025

Carlos Alcaraz is a two-time defending champion at Indian Wells.

Carlos Alcaraz continued his love affair at the Indian Wells Open, as he defeated Francisco Cerundolo in the quarters to advance to his fourth consecutive semi-final at the desert, keeping his hopes of a three-peat alive. The Spaniard has once again proved how difficult it is to beat him, on such conditions where the ball is slower than typical hard courts.

The 21-year-old has now won 21 consecutive matches at the Tennis Paradise, and is yet to lose a set so far in this year’s ATP-1000 event. A re-match of the Australian Open round of 16 is on the cards for a spot in the final, as Alcaraz will face the ever-impressive Jack Draper, who will be playing his maiden ATP Masters 1000 semi-final in Indian Wells.

Match details

• Tournament: Indian Wells Open 2025 Men’s Singles
• Round: Semi-final
• Date: March 16 (Sunday)
• Time: TBD
• Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, California
• Surface: Hard Court (Outdoor)

Preview

Jack Draper had an excellent 2024 and was expected to become the next big thing in men’s singles tennis. However, injuries hampered the Brit’s start to the new season, as he had to play the first Grand Slam of the year bearing an injury resulting in a one-sided loss to Carlos Alcaraz in the fourth round.

Draper made a strong comeback, reaching the finals of the Qatar Open, losing to Andrey Rublev in three sets. But his campaign at the desert has been impressive, beating the likes of Joao Fonseca, fourth seed and US Open finalist Taylor Fritz in the fourth round, and then downing 11th seed Ben Shelton in the quarters, in straight sets.

Both Alcaraz and Draper have been flawless in California this year, having not dropped a single set. These two have clashed four times, with Draper winning just once in 2024, at the Cinch Championships. On hard courts though, the Spaniard remains undefeated.

Also Read: Top five youngest men’s singles champions at Indian Wells Open

Form

• Carlos Alcaraz: W-W-W-W-L
• Jack Draper: W-W-W-W-L

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 4
• Alcaraz: 3
• Draper: 1

Stats

Carlos Alcaraz

• Alcaraz has a 15-2 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Alcaraz has a 20-2 record in Indian Wells
• Alcaraz has won 75% of the matches played on hard courts

Jack Draper

• Draper has a 11-2 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Draper has a 7-2 record in Indian Wells
• Draper has won 64% of matches played on hard courts

Also Read: Indian Wells Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money and points on offer

Carlos Alcaraz vs Jack Draper: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Alcaraz -200, Draper +150
• Spread: Alcaraz -3.5 (1.90), Draper +3.5 (1.90)
• Total Games: Over 22.5 (-110), Under 22.5 (-110)

Match Prediction

Draper, currently ranked #14, is just one win away from making his top-10 ATP debut. The 23-year-old looks a completely different player now but faces a massive challenge in the form of Alcaraz, who’s almost invincible at this venue. The Spaniard has had a favourable draw so far and has made the most of it.

The four-time Grand Slam champion’s standout performance at Indian Wells has been his deep understanding of the conditions, expertly adapting to the wind and selecting the right shots at crucial moments. With a stunning 91% success rate at Indian Wells, it’s fair to say Alcaraz loves playing here.

In this battle between potentially two-future tennis icons, Alcaraz certainly starts as a favourite, but Draper’s recent form means he cannot be taken lightly.

Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz will win in three sets.

Where and how to watch live streaming and TV broadcast of Carlos Alcaraz vs Jack Draper, men’s singles semi-final match at Indian Wells Open 2025?

Fans in India can catch the live semi-final action between Carlos Alcaraz and Jack Draper on Sony Network and SonyLiv. Sky UK will air live in the United Kingdom, and the Tennis Channel will handle the coverage in the United States.

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