Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: French Open 2025

First-time semi-finalist Musetti will meet defending champion Alcaraz for a place in the final.

Carlos Alcaraz eliminated one of two Americans playing in the quarter-final stage of French Open 2025. Alcaraz dispatched first-time Roland Garros quarter-finalist Tommy Paul 6-0, 6-1, 6-4 to reach the semi-finals in Paris for the third consecutive year. While Paul has registered wins over Alcaraz in the past, they came on the hard courts at Montreal and Miami.

The No. #2 seed has always been at home on clay, and he proved his mastery on the surface once more with the 94-minute win.

The Spaniard struck 40 winners and converted six breakpoints to improve to 5-2 in his head-to-head against Paul. Tommy Paul, along with compatriot Frances Tiafoe, were looking to become the first Americans to make the semi-finals since Andre Agassi in 1999. Agassi is also the last American to taste victory at Roland Garros.

Also Read: Carlos Alcaraz follows ‘King of Clay’ Rafael Nadal to this elite French Open list

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Frances Tiafoe to book his maiden semi-final at the clay-court major with a 6-2, 4-6, 7-5, 6-2 win. Tiafoe, the last American left in the men’s singles draw, went toe-to-toe with Musetti for the better part of their absorbing encounter. It wasn’t until late in the third set that Musetti took charge, winning eight of the final 10 games to close out the win.

World No. #7 Musetti, is the sole single-handed backhand player among the ATP Top 10. The Italian will rise to a career-high of No. #6 when the revised rankings come out on Monday. Armed with a 19-3 record on clay in 2025, Musetti will play his first French Open semi-final against defending champion Carlos Alcaraz.

Match details

• Tournament: French Open 2025
• Round: Semi-finals
• Date: June 6
• Venue: Roland Garros, Paris, France
• Surface: Clay

Preview

The Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti rivalry will see a new chapter written, with the duo facing off for the first time in the semi-finals of a Grand Slam. They previous Grand Slam clash came at Roland Garros itself, but in the fourth round of the 2023 edition. 

Alcaraz leads Musetti on tour with a 5-1 record, having defeated the Italian in both their meetings this season. The Spaniard registered wins over Musetti at the ATP Masters 1000 stage in the finals of Monte-Carlo and the semis at Rome. 

The Italian’s last win over Alcaraz came at the dawn of their rivalry when Musetti defeated Alcaraz in three sets at the 2022 Hamburg Open final. Including their sole face-off at the Challenger level in 2020, Alcaraz stretches his lead over Musetti to 6-1. 

Alcaraz, who is seeking his fifth major trophy, is 20-1 on clay this season and is on a tour-leading 35 wins and three titles.

Also Read: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: French Open 2025

Form

• Carlos Alcaraz: W-W-W-W-W
• Lorenzo Musetti: W-W-W-W-W

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 6
• Alcaraz: 5
• Musetti: 1

Stats

Carlos Alcaraz

• Alcaraz has a 35-5 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Alcaraz has a 23-3 win-loss record in Paris
• Alcaraz has won 80% of matches played on clay courts

Lorenzo Musetti

• Musetti has a 25-7 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Musetti has a 13-4 win-loss record in Paris
• Musetti has won 65% of matches played on clay courts

Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Alcaraz -625, Musetti +530
• Spread: Alcaraz -6.5 (-125), Musetti +7.5 (+164) 
• Total games: Over 33.5 (-118), Under 34.5 (-115)

Also Read: Full list of singles players to defend French Open title

Match Prediction

Musetti reached three back-to-back semi-finals on clay in the run-up to the French Open 2025. He reached the finals in Monte-Carlo and the semi-finals in Madrid and Rome respectively. Unfortunately for the Italian, he is slated to clash with the pre-tournament favourite and the man who has defeated him twice since the beginning of April – Carlos Alcaraz. 

The Italian is a tough competitor on clay, and it would not be wise to rule him out. Alcaraz will be performing on his favourite stage, and as good as Musetti is, Alcaraz is better and will be extra motivated as he has a title to defend. It will be a match worthy of a final, with Musetti’s graceful shotmaking up against Alcaraz’s explosive forehand. 

A fair measure of to and fro shall manifest itself before Alcaraz wears down Musetti with his relentless intensity. 

Result: Alcaraz to win in four sets.

Where and how to watch live streaming and TV broadcast of Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti, men’s singles semi-final at French Open 2025?

Sony Network will broadcast the semi-final between Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti at the ongoing French Open in India. Residents of the United Kingdom can tune in to Eurosport for live action from Paris. Viewers in the United States have the option of live streaming the event on TNT, Max, or Tru TV.

For more updates, follow Khel Now on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram; download the Khel Now Android App or IOS App and join our community on Whatsapp & Telegram