Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Wimbledon 2025

Alcaraz books a third consecutive semi-final, while Fritz confirms his maiden semi-final appearance at SW19.

Carlos Alcaraz reached the semi-finals of the grass court major for the third consecutive season by defeating Cameron Norrie, the last British player in the men’s singles draw, on Tuesday. The Spaniard secured the 6-2, 6-3, 6-3 win in one hour and 39 minutes to inch closer to a Wimbledon hat-trick and a possible Channel Slam for the second year running. 

The Spanish World No. 2 also became the second active player to reach three or more Wimbledon semi-finals, alongside Novak Djokovic. Alcaraz became the first player to qualify for the year-ending ATP Finals after easing into the last four.

Alcaraz struck 39 winners en route to victory over the Johannesburg-born Corrie to deny the left-hander his first semi-final appearance since 2022. 

Two-time Wimbledon quarter-finalist Taylor Fritz will play his first Wimbledon semi-final after his take-down of Karen Khachanov. Fritz, seeded fifth, ousted Khachanov 6-3, 6-4, 1-6, 7-6(4) to register his first win against the Russian in three meetings after spending two hours, 36 minutes on court.

Fritz lost in the last eight to Rafael Nadal (2022) and Lorenzo Musetti (2024). The top-ranked struck 47 winners and 16 aces during his stay on the No. 1 court, the victory elevating Fritz to No. 7 in the Race to Turin. 

The 27-year-old Fritz is 13-1 on grass as he heads into a semi-final clash against two-time defending champion Carlos Alcaraz. The American picked up his fourth title at Eastbourne in the run-up to Wimbledon.

Match Details

• Tournament: Wimbledon 2025
• Round: Semi-final
• Date: July 11
• Venue: All England Lawn Tennis & Croquet Club, London
• Surface: Grass

Preview

Carlos Alcaraz has emulated compatriot Rafael Nadal’s three consecutive semi-final appearances between 2006 and 2008 as he remains in the reckoning for this sixth tour-level title of the season. Before his convincing win against Cameron Norrie, the Spaniard ran into Spider-Man star Tom Holland on the practice courts and agreed to share a round of golf with Holland.

Before teeing off with Holland, the World No. 2 Spaniard will focus on the upcoming clash with Taylor Fritz, his third against the American and first since the 2024 Laver Cup. Alcaraz enjoys a 2-0 lead in the head-to-head over fifth-seed Fritz and has won 32 of 33 matches played since the clay-court season got underway in Monaco. 

Fritz went past the quarter-final stage at Wimbledon for the first time when he defeated Karen Khachanov in four sets. The Californian will hope to make his second Grand Slam final after his 2024 US Open title triumph. The American has closed the gap significantly with Jack Draper in the live rankings thanks to his SW19 semi-final debut. 

Fritz has hit a milestone this fortnight by becoming the first American semi-finalist at Wimbledon since John Isner in 2018. Victory over Alcaraz will make Fritz the first SW19 finalist since Andy Roddick in 2009. 

Form

• Carlos Alcaraz: W-W-W-W-W
• Taylor Fritz: W-W-W-W-W

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 2
• Carlos Alcaraz: 2
• Taylor Fritz: 0

Stats

Carlos Alcaraz:

• Alcaraz has a 47-5 win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• Alcaraz has a 23-2  win-loss record at Wimbledon.
• Alcaraz has won 90% of the matches played on grass courts.

Taylor Fritz:

• Fritz has a 30-11 win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• Fritz has an 18-8 win-loss record at Wimbledon.
• Fritz has won 63% of matches played on grass courts.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Alcaraz -525, Fritz +460.
• Spread: Alcaraz -5.5 (-115), Fritz +5.5 (-112). 
• Total games: Over 37.5 (-110), Under 37.5 (-109).
• 1st Set Winner: Alcaraz -295, Fritz +230.
• 1st Set Total Games: Over 10.5 (+165), Under 10.5 (-235)

Match Prediction

Both Alcaraz and Firtz have been in good form in the run-up to Wimbledon 2025. The Spaniard has won three titles in a row since claiming the Italian Open in June. The World No. 2 followed it up by retaining his Roland Garros crown and winning the Queen’s Club Championships for the second time. 

However, the fact that Fritz is yet to win a set against Alcaraz will weigh on the American’s mind ahead of their first meeting on the Grand Slam stage. The Spaniard has moved into a higher gear as seen from his dominance of Cameron Norrie, producing a masterclass to dash the Briton’s hopes of making the last four. 

Alcaraz has the edge and will be the odds-on favourite backed by his experience at the grass-court major. Another point in favour of the Spaniard is that he leads Fritz 2-0 in their head-to-head matches. Fritz’s recent performances point to a tough contest, with Alcaraz winning in four sets.

Result: Alcaraz will win in four sets.

Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz, semi-final match at Wimbledon 2025?

Viewers in India can watch the semi-final match between Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz live on Star Sports and JioHotstar. Sky Sports will broadcast the contest live in the United Kingdom. The Tennis Channel is the official broadcaster in the United States. Full broadcast details here.

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