Elise Mertens vs Madison Keys prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Indian Wells Open 2025

Madison Keys leads head-to-head record.

Belgian powerhouse Elise Mertens, ranked 28th, will face recent Australian Open winner Madison Keys in Round of 32 of the Indian Wells Open 2025. Mertens began well, beating Kimberly Birrell in two sets 6-4, 7-5. Elise served 10 aces to win against the Birrell.

Keys, returning after her Australian Open 2025 triumph, crushed Anastasia Potapova in her first match. She needed just 63 minutes and won the final 10 games straight.

Also Read: Top five title favourites in women’s singles at Indian Wells Open 2025

Match details

• Tournament: Indian Wells Open 2025
• Stage: Round of 32
• Date: March 10 (Monday)
• Time: 11:30 PM IST
• Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, California, USA
• Surface: Hard Court (outdoor)

Preview

Mertens has been steady in 2025. Belgian has already reached finals of Hobart and Singapore, winning the title in Singapore after defeating USA’s Ann Li in straight sets. Mertens, who reached the 4th round in Indian Wells 2024, was textbook- efficient, composed, and built on relentless baseline coverage in the Round of 64 this year, as she defeated Kimberly Birell in straight sets.

Also Read: Indian Wells Open 2025: Updated schedule, fixtures, results, live streaming details

Meanwhile, Madison Keys is playing the best tennis of her life, and her recent Australian Open run wasn’t just a title-winning campaign—it was a statement. Wins over Danielle Collins, Elena Rybakina, and world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka saw her overpower elite opposition with fearless shot-making.

In her first match at Indian Wells, she defeated Anastasia Potapova and finished the match with an impressive 6–3, 6–0 win.

Form

• Elise Mertens: W-L-W-L-W
• Madison Keys: W-W-W-W-W

Head-to-Head

• Matches – 5
• Elise Mertens: 2
• Madison Keys: 3

Also Read: Indian Wells Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money and points on offer

Stats

Elise Mertens

• Mertens is 14-4 in 2025 so far.
• Mertens has a 6-8 win-loss record at Indian Wells.
• Mertens’ best finish came in the 2024 season, where she reached the 4th round.

Madison Keys

• Keys has a 15-1 win-loss record in 2025 so far
• Keys has a 12-13 win-loss record at Indian Wells
• Keys had her best run at Indian Wells in 2022, reaching the quarterfinals.

Also Read: Top 10 players to watch at Indian Wells Open 2025

Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Mertens: +220, Keys: -240
• Spread: Mertens: +1.5 (-133), Keys: -1.5 (+105)
• Total Sets: Over 2.5 (+125), Under 2.5 (-175)

Prediction

Madison Keys isn’t just winning in 2025, but she’s dominating. Her Australian Open run was a statement as her fearless shot-making helped her take her 1st Grand Slam title, despite a tough draw. She defeated top-10 players.

In the final, she out-muscled world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka. In the semifinals, she tore through Iga Swiatek’s defense. And in her Indian Wells opener? She barely gave Anastasia Potapova room to breathe, sealing the match with a second-set bagel.

Also Read: Top 10 players who have withdrawn from Indian Wells Open 2025

Now, standing in her way is Elise Mertens, a player known for her consistency and ability to grind out long rallies. But against this version of Keys? That’s a tough question. If Keys finds her rhythm on serve and unleashes that massive forehand early, this could be over in a hurry

Prediction: Madison Keys will win in straight sets.

Where and how to watch the live streaming and TV broadcast of the round of 32 match between Elise Mertens and Madison Keys at the Indian Wells Open 2025?

The Round of 32 match between Madison Keys and Elise Mertens won’t be shown live on TV in India, but fans can live stream it on WTA TV.

Sky UK airs the Indian Wells tournament live in the UK, while Tennis Channel streams the ATP-1000 event live in the US.

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