Iga Swiatek vs Karolina Muchova prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Indian Wells Open 2025

Iga Swiatek is a two-time champion at Indian Wells.

The defending champion, Iga Swiatek faces her first big test against Karolina Muchova in the round of 16. The Indian Wells Open 2025 has interestingly been one with limited surprises, as the top WTA seeds have performed fairly well, a rare sighting which has not happened in the past couple of years.

All top-10 seeds advanced to the third round, and apart from eighth seeded Emma Navarro—who lost to Donna Vekic—all others have qualified for the round of 16. However, a massive shake-up will be witnessed as two big names take on each other and the route to title defence for the two-time Indian Wells champion Swiatek is certainly going to be tricky one.

Match details

• Tournament: Indian Wells Open 2025
• Stage: Fourth round
• Date: March 12 (Wednesday)
• Time: 11:30 PM IST
• Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, California
• Surface: Hard Court (outdoor)

Preview

Swiatek has been untroubled so far at one of her favourite courts, giving away just two games so far in each of her first two rounds. The 2025 Dubai Open semi-finalist Karolina Muchova downed 59th seed Kateřina Siniaková to mark her career-best campaign at the Tennis Paradise.

The Pole has defeated the Czech once this year already, at the United Cup in straight sets. She holds a 3-1 lead over Muchova, who has failed to go past her since 2019.

Muchova is among the few seasoned players yet to claim a WTA-1000 title. To make history in the desert, she must deliver a remarkable performance against one of Indian Wells’ most successful women’s singles players.

Also Read: Indian Wells Open: Full list of winners

Form

• Iga Swiatek: W-W-L-W-W
• Karolina Muchova: W-W-L-W-W

Head-to-Head

• Matches – 4
• Swiatek – 3
• Muchova – 1

Swiatek leads the head-to-head against Muchova 3-1. She defeated the Czech most recently at the United Cup 2025.

Stats

Iga Swiatek

• Swiatek has an 12-3 win-loss record in 2025 so far
• Swiatek has a 20-2 win-loss record at Indian Wells
• Swiatek emerged victorious at Indian Wells 2024

Karolina Muchova

• Muchova has a 9-3 win-loss record in 2025 so far
• Muchova has a 6-1 win-loss record at Indian Wells
• Muchova made her main draw debut at Indian Wells in 2025

Also Read: Indian Wells Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money and points on offer

Iga Swiatek vs Karolina Muchova: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Muchova +333, Swiatek -474
• Spread: Muchova +5.5 (1.73), Swiatek -5.5 (2.10)
• Total Games: Over 19.5 (+1.80), Under 19.5 (-2.05)

Prediction

Muchova, looking for a maiden WTA-1000 title came close at Linz and Dubai. She looks an improved player on tour, but Swiatek means business. With Indian Wells appearing to be on the slower side, the Pole certainly enjoys the conditions at offer, allowing her to produce her best tennis.

The reigning champion could have a point to prove against an experienced campaigner, however the Pole has the momentum and recent victories over this rival gives her a further boost. While it could get tricky, Swiatek is expected to keep her hopes of a record third title alive.

Prediction: Iga Swiatek will win in straight sets.

Where and how to watch live streaming and TV broadcast of Iga Swiatek vs Karolina Muchova, fourth-round match at Indian Wells Open 2025?

Fans in India and the USA, can catch the fourth-round match between Iga Swiatek and Karolina Muchova on the WTA TV and Tennis TV, via subscription. Tennis Channel will also be broadcasting the event live in the USA. Viewers in the United Kingdom can tune in to Sky UK for live coverage of the Indian Wells tournament.

For more updates, follow Khel Now on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram; download the Khel Now Android App or IOS App and join our community on Whatsapp & Telegram