Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Vienna Open 2025

Sinner is yet to lose a match against the Australian in 11 meetings.

Jannik Sinner continued his dominant 2025 season, powering past Alexander Bublik 6-4, 6-4 to keep his hopes of clinching the crown in Vienna alive.

The top-seeded Italian, who boasts a remarkable 46-6 win-loss record this year, was clinical from start to finish, maintaining his near-perfect indoor streak and moving closer to a fourth title of the season.

With this win, the World No. 2 extended his head-to-head lead over Bublik to 6-2, displaying trademark composure and precision under pressure.

Alex de Minaur, meanwhile, secured his spot in the semi-finals with a solid 6-1, 7-6(4) victory over Matteo Berrettini, avenging his prior head-to-head deficit against the Italian.

The Australian, currently seventh in the ATP Live Race to Turin, earned his fifth semifinal appearance of 2025 and is pushing hard for a second career berth at the ATP Finals.

Match details

• Tournament: Vienna Open 2025
• Round: Semi-finals
• Date: October 25
• Venue: Vienna
• Surface: Hard Court

Jannik Sinner ties Fabio Fognini and Adriano Panatta for the most tour level semifinals by an Italian man in the Open Era. 42.Incredible number at just 24 years old.Making Italian tennis very proud. 🇮🇹❤️ pic.twitter.com/u82BeHm0Fa

— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) October 24, 2025

​​Preview

This semi-final clash promises a fascinating contrast of styles: Sinner’s flat, penetrating groundstrokes versus De Minaur’s speed, defense, and tactical precision. The Italian has been near untouchable indoors, riding a 19-match winning streak on such surfaces, including his 2023 Vienna title run.

Sinner’s ability to control baseline rallies and dictate tempo will be key against an opponent who thrives on quick transitions and exploiting movement gaps. De Minaur enters this match with immense confidence after notching 53 wins this season, second only to Carlos Alcaraz on the ATP Tour.

Having already captured the Washington ATP 500 title, the Aussie has proven he can go toe-to-toe with the elite. However, facing Sinner’s relentless aggression and accuracy indoors presents an entirely different challenge, one that has historically tilted heavily in the Italian’s favour.

These two met recently in the China Open semi-finals, where the Australian displayed remarkable fight in the second set to force a decider, before falling short in the end.

Form

• Jannik Sinner: W-W-W-L-W
• Alex de Minaur: W-W-W-L-W

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 11
• Jannik Sinner: 11
• Alex de Minaur: 0

Stats

Jannik Sinner

• Sinner has a 46-6 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Sinner has a 15-4 win-loss record in Vienna
• Sinner has won 80% of matches played on hard courts

Alex de Minaur

• De Minaur has a 54-19 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• De Minaur has a 4-2 win-loss record in Vienna
• De Minaur has won 65% of matches played on hard courts

Also Read: ATP Vienna Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money & points on offer

Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Sinner -800, De Minaur +500
• Spread: Sinner -4.5 (-150), De Minaur +4.5 (+110)
• Total Games: Over 20.5 (-110), Under 20.5 (-125)
• 1st Set Winner: Sinner -450, De Minaur +333
• 1st Set Total Games: Over 9.5 (+110), Under 9.5 (-150)

Match prediction

Sinner enters the Vienna Open semi-finals as the clear favourite, carrying a 19-match indoor winning streak and an outstanding 46-6 season record.

His straight sets win over Alexander Bublik (6-4, 6-4) highlighted his precision, composure, and dominance on serve, which make him nearly untouchable on the fast indoor courts where he’s a former champion.

Alex de Minaur, known for his speed and defensive resilience, will look to counter Sinner’s power after a hard-fought 6-1, 7-6(4) win over Matteo Berrettini.

Yet, the surface and head-to-head dynamics favour Sinner, whose flatter strokes and superior shot production should allow him to dictate play and control the tempo. Expect the Italian to prevail in straight sets.

Result: Jannik Sinner to win in straight sets.

Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur, semi-final match at Vienna Open 2025?

The semi-final will be available for Indian viewers on Discovery India. American viewers can tune in to the Tennis Channel, while Sky UK will broadcast the quarter-final meeting for viewers within the United Kingdom.

Full broadcast details here

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