Preview: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head | Vienna Open 2026
Medvedev’s quarter-final win guaranteed him a place in the ATP Finals
Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev meet in the Vienna Open 2026 semi-finals with a place in the championship match at stake and with one of them set to take a big step toward ending the season strongly.
Six-time Grand Slam champion Alcaraz has been in control all week. The Spaniard beat Karen Khachanov and Nikoloz Basilashvili, then overcame Tommy Paul 6-4, 7-6(2) in the quarter-finals, winning all three of his matches in straight sets.
This semi-final run matches his best-ever campaign in Vienna, which came on his debut in the tournament in 2021. Alcaraz will be confident of another title match, having now won 24 consecutive matches at ATP 500 tournaments, including title runs in Doha and Tokyo this year.
Medvedev, the third seed and 2022 champion in Vienna, successfully booked his place at the ATP Finals in Turin with his quarter-final win over Adrian Mannarino. He has won seven matches in a row, after clinching the Almaty title last week.
In the second round, he came back from 5-3 down, facing a match point against Cameron Norrie, to record a stunning escape.
Since his fourth-round loss at the US Open, he has won titles in Hangzhou and Almaty and reached the semi-finals in Shanghai and Beijing.
Match details
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- Tournament: Vienna Open 2026
- Round: Semi-finals
- Date: October 31
- Venue: Vienna
- Surface: Hard Court
Preview
Alcaraz vs Medvedev is one of the most exciting matchups on the ATP tour, and the duo are set to face off for the 10th time. Medvedev won their only previous meeting this season at the Indian Wells Open semi-finals, a rematch of the 2023 and 2024 finals there, both of which Alcaraz had won.
The Russian has long been one of the toughest opponents for the Spaniard, thanks to his depth off the ground and a flat, deep backhand that rarely gives up free points.
With both players in excellent form recently, this promises to be a cracker of a contest, and could also provide a glimpse of what to expect in the year-end Finals in Turin.
Form
- Carlos Alcaraz: W-W-W-L-W
- Daniil Medvedev: W-W-W-W-W
Head-to-head record
- Matches: 9
- Carlos Alcaraz: 6
- Daniil Medvedev: 3
Related: Full head-to-head details here
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
- Alcaraz has a 35-6 win-loss record in the 2026 season
- Alcaraz has a 6-1 win-loss record in Vienna
- Alcaraz has won 81% of matches played on hard courts
Daniil Medvedev
- Medvedev has a 54-18 win-loss record in the 2026 season
- Medvedev has a 12-1 win-loss record in Vienna
- Medvedev has won 75% of matches played on hard courts
Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev: Betting tips and odds
- Moneyline: Alcaraz -250, Medvedev +200
- Spread: Alcaraz -3.5 (-115), Medvedev +3.5 (-105)
- Total Games: Over 22.5 (-110), Under 22.5 (-110)
- 1st Set Winner: Alcaraz -200, Medvedev +160
- 1st Set Total Games: Over 9.5 (-125), Under 9.5 (+105)
Match prediction
Alcaraz is back to playing his near-best tennis, and will be confident about his game having won all his matches in straight sets all week. Medvedev, however, proved in Indian Wells that a good day from the Russian can neutralise the Alcaraz threat.
On a fast indoor court, the first-strike tennis that the Spaniard plays should give him an edge in the key games, especially on his serve, where he has been landing a high first-serve percentage and rarely facing break points.
Medvedev has played a lot of tennis over the past few weeks, and a lengthy exchange could test his fitness and physicality as well.
Result: Carlos Alcaraz to win in three sets.
Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev, semi-final match at Vienna Open 2026?
The semi-final will be available for Indian viewers on Fancode and Tennis Channel India. American viewers can tune in to the Tennis Channel, while Sky UK will broadcast the semi-final meeting for viewers within the United Kingdom.
Where and when will Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev semi-final match take place at Vienna Open 2026?
The semi-final match will be played on the Centre Court of Wiener Stadthalle on October 31 (Saturday). The match is scheduled to begin at 3 pm local time (7:30 pm IST).
What is the overall head-to-head between Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev?
They have clashed nine times on tour previously, and Alcaraz leads by 6-3, with four of those wins coming in the last four encounters. Medvedev won their most recent meeting at Indian Wells.
What happened in the last match between Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev?
Their last match was in the semi-finals of 2026 Indian Wells, which Medvedev won in straight sets.
Who is the prediction for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev semi-final match at Vienna Open 2026?
Alcaraz is back to playing his near-best tennis, and will be confident about his game having won all his matches in straight sets all week. Medvedev, however, proved in Indian Wells that a good day from the Russian can neutralise the Alcaraz threat.
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