Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor Dimitrov prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Indian Wells Open 2025

Alcaraz is a two-time defending champion at Indian Wells.

Second seed, Carlos Alcaraz, will face 14th-seeded Grigor Dimitrov on Thursday. The story of Alcaraz and Indian Wells is slowly becoming one of the most memorable. The Spainard is a two-defending champion at Indian Wells and will be eager to do a hat-trick.

His bid to do a three-peat has fewer rivals, thanks to upsets in the tournament. Top-seeded Alexander Zverev and fourth-seeded Casper Ruud were knocked out on the first day. The biggest upset came on the second day, with Novak Djokovic being sent home by a Lucky Loser, Botic van de Zandschulp. But his fourth round will be tougher as he is up against former World No. #3 Grigor Dimitrov, who recently took the Spaniard’s number.

Also Read: Indian Wells Open 2025: Updated schedule, fixtures, results, live streaming details

Match details

• Tournament: Indian Wells Open 2025
• Stage: Fourth round
• Date: March 13 (Thursday)
• Time: TBD
• Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, California, USA
• Surface: Hard Court (outdoor)

Preview

The fourth-round match between Carlos Alcaraz and Grigor Dimitrov will be one of the most-anticipated matches this season because of the results these two have produced in their recent battles. It has an indifferent 2025 for Alcaraz as he had a quarterfinal exit in the Australian Open after a thrilling game against Novak Djokovic.

The four-time Grand Slam champion showed his mettle by winning the Rotterdam Open but had a disappointing result in the Qatar Open. He wants to get his journey back on track, and coming back to Indian Wells is the best way for the Spaniard as he is the two-time defending champion. He entered the first event of the Sunshine Double with confidence.

Also Read: Indian Wells Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money and points on offer

He exuded confidence with two convincing wins in California. He will have a tough challenge against Dimitrov. The Bulgarian has been fighting against injuries in 2025, as he had to retire in three tournaments so far. He had a small injury concern in the third-round match against Gael Monfils, but he fought through to win the game in three sets. It will be interesting to see how these two battle it out against each other.

Form

• Carlos Alcaraz : W-W-W-W-W
• Grigor Dimitrov : W-W-L-L-L

Head-to-Head

• Matches – 5
• Carlos Alcaraz – 3
• Grigor Dimitrov – 2

These two have displayed some magical tennis over the last two years. They have battled it out five times, with Carlos Alcaraz leading 3-2. But Dimitrov will be a huge challenger as he has won the last two meetings between these two.

Also Read: Indian Wells Open: Full list of winners

Stats

Carlos Alcaraz

• Alcaraz has an 11-2 win-loss record in 2025 so far.
• Alcaraz has an 18-4 win-loss record at Indian Wells.
• Alcaraz is a two-time defending champion at Indian Wells.

Quentin Halys

• Dimitrov has a 5-4 win-loss record in 2025 so far.
• Dimitrov has a 14-11 win-loss record at Indian Wells.
• Dimitrov lost in the second round at Indian Wells in 2024.

Also Read: Top 10 players to watch at Indian Wells Open 2025

Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Dimitrov +850, Alcaraz -2000
• Spread: Dimitrov +1.5 (3.75), Alcaraz -1.5 (1.24)
• Total Games: Over 18.5 (+1.83), Under 18.5 (-1.91)

Match Prediction

Alcaraz-Dimitrov is a small rivalry that has been growing over the past 24 months. Last year, the Bulgarian exploited Alcaraz’s weakness in his first serve to beat him in straight sets at the Miami Open. The 21-year-old has worked on his serving technique, and it will be the first time he will be testing it against Dimitrov.

Also Read: Top five title favourites in men’s singles at Indian Wells Open 2025

Carlos will start as the favourite for this game, but he will not take his opponent lightly as he has lost both of their previous encounters. If Dimitrov could recover from a gruelling three-setter against Gael Monfils and stay fit throughout the game, he would possess a tough challenge for the defending champion.

Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz will win in three sets.

Where and how to watch the live streaming and TV broadcast of the fourth-round match between Carlos Alcaraz and Grigor Dimitrov at the Indian Wells Open 2025?

The Sony Network will cover the Indian Wells Open 2025 fourth-round match between Carlos Alcaraz and Grigor Dimitrov in India, complemented by its streaming service, SonyLiv.

Viewers in the United Kingdom can tune in to Sky UK for live coverage of the Indian Wells tournament. Tennis Channel offers live streaming of the ATP-1000 event within the United States.

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