Carlos Alcaraz vs Reilly Opelka prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: US Open 2025

Alcaraz enters the US Open hoping to end Sinner’s reign at the top of the ATP rankings.

World No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz entered the 2025 season with a title at the ATP 500 Rotterdam Open, his first indoor hard-court triumph, before adding five more, including Masters 1000 victories in Monte-Carlo, Rome, and Cincinnati.

He retained his Roland Garros crown in a historic five-and-a-half-hour final, saving three championship points for a five-set victory. However, he fell short in defending his Wimbledon title, as he lost to Jannik Sinner in the final.

With six titles and 54 match wins already, Alcaraz is on the verge of surpassing his 2023 haul. A US Open victory would secure his seventh title of the year and a second crown in New York, putting him alongside Rafael Nadal.

More significantly, it could deny Sinner a successful title defense, setting up a highly anticipated clash between the top two seeds in the final.

Match Details

• Tournament: US Open 2025  
• Round: Round 1
• Date: August 26
• Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, New York
• Surface: Hard Court

ALSO READ: Carlos Alcaraz’s projected path to US Open 2025 final

Preview

Reilly Opelka is one of those typical serve bots on tour, dominating with his ferocious serve but struggling for consistency otherwise. Once the American fails to find his big serve, he becomes a completely different player, which has prevented him from becoming a successful singles player.

Alcaraz has been unusually inconsistent against lower-ranked players in the early rounds of Grand Slams, having fought a tough five-setter in the opening round at SW19 earlier this year.

The Spaniard often looks to conserve his energy during the first week of a major event. But against the tall American, Alcaraz needs to be at his absolute best to prevent yet another gruelling encounter.

Form

• Carlos Alcaraz: L-W-W-L-W
• Reilly Opelka: L-W-L-L-L

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 0
• Carlos Alcaraz : 0
• Reilly Opelka: 0

ALSO READ: US Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money & points on offer

Stats

Carlos Alcaraz

• Alcaraz has a 54-6 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Alcaraz has a 17-3 win-loss record at the US Open
• Alcaraz has won 75% of the matches played on hard courts

Reilly Opelka

• Opelka has a 28-21 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Opelka has a 7-8 win-loss record at the US Open
• Opelka has won 54% of the matches played on hard courts

Carlos Alcaraz vs Reilly Opelka: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Alcaraz -1600, Opelka +1000
• Spread: Alcaraz -5.5 (-175), Opelka +6.5 (-134)
• Total games: Over 33.5 (-135), Under 34.5 (-118)
• 1st Set Winner: Alcaraz -425, Opelka +350
• 1st Set Total Games: Over 9.5 (-250), Under 10.5 (-230)

Match prediction

Alcaraz and Opelka will face off for the first time on the ATP Tour. The American will hope to serve his way through to what would be a stunning upset.

However, the Spaniard will look to cruise his way to an opening-round win and keep his hopes of reclaiming the #1 ranking alive.

Result: Carlos Alcaraz will win in four sets.

Where and how to watch the live telecast and streaming of Carlos Alcaraz vs Reilly Opelka, first-round match at the 2025 US Open?

Indian viewers can watch the US Open 2025 first-round clash between Carlos Alcaraz and Reilly Opelka on the Star Sports network and streamed via JioHotstar.

UK fans can watch on Sky Sports Tennis, the Sky Sports+ app, or stream with a NOW TV Sports Pass. In the USA, coverage will be on ESPN platforms—ESPN2, ESPNEWS, and ESPN+ across all rounds.

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