Iga Swiatek vs Dayana Yastremska prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Indian Wells Open 2025

Iga Swiatek is a two-time champion at Indian Wells.

Iga Swiatek burst through her opening round as she prepares for title defence. A triumph at the Indian Wells Open 2025 will make her the most successful woman at Indian Wells. The new surfaces brought to the desert were supposed to be faster, although players believed this was not the case.

Many remarked that they are among the slowest courts ever, which is good news for Swiatek. Arguably, the finest player on clay currently, with four Grand Slam triumphs at the Roland Garros, the Pole will relish the conditions in California.

Also Read: Top five title favourites in women’s singles at Indian Wells Open 2025

Following her dominant victory over Caroline Garcia, which included a bagel, the World No. 2 became only the third player to record the most victories against a WTA-1000 event winner, joining Victoria Azarenka and Petra Kvitova.

Match details

• Tournament: Indian Wells Open 2025
• Stage: Third round
• Date: March 10 (Monday)
• Time: TBD
• Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, California, USA
• Surface: Hard Court (outdoor)

Preview

Iga Swiatek hasn’t won a title since the French Open 2024, which is a massive gap for a player of her quality. While she has certainly come close more often than not, the Pole has failed to convert key moments. Indian Wells, a venue where she has emerged victorious twice, provides the perfect chance for the second seed to return to winning ways.

Swiatek’s early rounds are expected to be a walk in the park, with her dominance evident in her remarkable 11.3% of sets in WTA-1000 matches ending with a 6-0 scoreline — the highest for any player with at least 20 sets since the format’s introduction.

Also Read: Indian Wells Open 2025: Updated schedule, fixtures, results, live streaming details

On the other hand, Dayana Yastremska reached the final of the Linz Open 2025, which remains her best outing of the season so far. Coincidentally, the duo faced off two weeks ago in the Dubai round of 16, where Swiatek secured a comfortable straight sets victory (7-5 6-0). The short gap between their encounters gives the 23-year-old a clear psychological advantage heading into this match.

Form

• Iga Swiatek: L-W-W-W-W
• Dayana Yastremska: W-L-W-W-W

Head-to-Head

• Matches – 2
• Iga Swiatek – 1
• Dayana Yastremska – 1

The two first faced each other in 2019, but their most recent encounter was two weeks ago at the Dubai Tennis Championship 2025, where Swiatek crushed Yastremska in straight sets, including a bagel.

Also Read: Indian Wells Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money and points on offer

Stats

Iga Swiatek

• Swiatek has an 11-3 win-loss record in 2025 so far.
• Swiatek has a 19-2 win-loss record at Indian Wells.
• Swiatek emerged victorious at Indian Wells 2024.

Dayana Yastremska

• Yastremska has a 12-6 win-loss record in 2025 so far.
• Yastremska has a 4-5 win-loss record at Indian Wells.
• Yastremska lost the first round at Indian Wells in 2024.

Also Read: Top 10 players to watch at Indian Wells Open 2025

Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Yastremska +850, Swiatek -2000
• Spread: Yastremska +6.5 (1.80), Swiatek -6.5 (1.91)
• Total games: Over 18.5 (+1.91), Under 18.5 (-1.83)

Prediction

Dayana Yastremska staged a massive victory over Ons Jabeur in the second round to advance to the third round. The Ukrainian would be eager to avenge her Dubai defeat, but Swiatek is a different beast in the desert. Boasting a remarkable 90% success rate at Tennis Paradise, the Pole is a top contender for the title race and is expected to sail through this contest.

Also Read: Top 10 players who have withdrawn from Indian Wells Open 2025

Prediction: Iga Swiatek will win in straight sets.

Where and how to watch the live streaming and TV broadcast of the third-round match between Iga Swiatek and Dayana Yastremska at the Indian Wells Open 2025?

The Sony Network will cover the Indian Wells Open 2025 third-round match between Iga Swiatek and Dayana Yastremska in India, complemented by its streaming service, SonyLiv.

Viewers in the United Kingdom can tune in to Sky UK for live coverage of the Indian Wells tournament. Tennis Channel offers live streaming of the WTA-1000 event within the United States.

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