Madison Keys vs Anastasia Potapova prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Indian Wells Open 2025

This is Madison Keys’ first outing after her Australian Open triumph.

Madison Keys and Anastasia Potapova are facing off in the second round of the Indian Wells Open 2025, and what bigger stage could one ask for? It has been four years since they last met, and Potapova still takes great pride in that battle, having won it in Dubai four years ago.

But now, it’s 2025, a different time, different conditions, and an entirely fired-up Keys (who received bye here in 1st round), after a Melbourne title, wanting to make a statement, while Potapova, who is coming off a grueling first-round win, won’t back down.

Also Read: Top five title favourites in women’s singles at Indian Wells Open 2025

Match details

• Tournament: Indian Wells Open 2025
• Stage: Round of 64
• Date: March 9 (Sunday)
• Time: 12:30 AM IST
• Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, California, USA
• Surface: Hard Court (outdoor)

Preview

Madison Keys is back in action at Indian Wells after the career-defining win at the Australian Open. It’s been a month since she won her first Grand Slam title, taking down top players like world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka and No. 2 Iga Swiatek. The desert requires patience, shot tolerance, and adaptability. After a layoff, rhythm matters. Confidence does, too. And right now, Keys has plenty of it.

Also Read: Indian Wells Open 2025: Updated schedule, fixtures, results, live streaming details

In her path is Anastasia Potapova, an unpredictable but dangerous rival. She’s already won a WTA title this year in Cluj-Napoca but has struggled against top players. Her aggressive baseline game is deadly indoors, but Indian Wells is slow, so playing his usual first-strike tennis is a bit more complicated.

Form

• Madison Keys: W-W-W-W-W
• Anastasia Potapova : W-L-W-W-W

Head-to-Head

• Matches – 2
• Madison Keys: 1
• Anastasia Potapova: 1

Also Read: Indian Wells Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money and points on offer

Stats

Madison Keys

• Keys has a 14-1 win-loss record in 2025 so far
• Keys has an 11-13 win-loss record at Indian Wells
• Keys achieved her best finish, the quarterfinals, at Indian Wells 2022

Anastasia Potapova

• Potapova is 12-4 in 2025 so far.
• Potapova has a 7-4 win-loss record at Indian Wells.
• Potapova’s best finish came in the 2024 season, where she reached Quarters.

Also Read: Top 10 players to watch at Indian Wells Open 2025

Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Keys -270, Potapova +220
• Spread: Keys -1.5 (-105), Potapova +1.5 (-128)
• Total Sets: Over 2.5 (+135), Under 2.5 (-185)

Prediction

Madison Keys should take this in straight sets, and we know she’s returning from a month-long layoff, but when she’s in rhythm, her first-strike tennis is nearly unstoppable. Her 14-1 record on hard courts in 2025 speaks for itself, while Anastasia Potapova is just 5-3 on outdoor hard courts this season, thriving more in controlled indoor conditions.

Also Read: Top 10 players who have withdrawn from Indian Wells Open 2025

The slow Indian Wells surface and swirling winds demand clean shot selection, which is an area where Potapova has struggled under pressure. If Keys serves well and keeps the rallies short, she’ll control the tempo and prevent Potapova from dictating play. The head-to-head history suggests danger, but not in these conditions. Expect Keys to power through in straight sets.

Prediction: Madison Keys will win in straight sets.

Where and how to watch the live streaming and TV broadcast of Madison Keys and Anastasia Potapova, round of 64 match at Indian Wells Open 2025?

The Sony Network will cover the Indian Wells Open 2025 second-round match between Madison Keys and Anastasia Potapova, with streaming available on SonyLiv.

Sky UK brings live coverage of the Indian Wells tournament to viewers in the United Kingdom. In the United States, the Tennis Channel streams the ATP-1000 event live.

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