Madison Keys vs Belinda Bencic prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Indian Wells Open 2025
Keys is currently on a 15-match winning streak.
Madison Keys continued her impressive form in the new season, staging a dramatic turnaround against Donna Vekic in the fourth round of the Indian Wells Open 2025. The Croatian wasted a 5-3 lead in the tiebreak to concede the second set, much to her frustration. The Olympic silver medalist threw her racquet in frustration and eventually lost the match.
The Australian Open 2025 champion has already reached her career-best at the desert and will face Belinda Bencic to confirm a semifinal spot. Bencic stunned World No. 3 Coco Gauff to become only the sixth wildcard to reach the quarterfinals of Indian Wells since the competition’s inception.
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Match details
- Tournament: Indian Wells Open 2025
- Stage: Quarter-final
- Date: March 14 (Friday)
- Time: 2:40 AM
- Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, California
- Surface: Hard Court (outdoor)
Preview
Belinda Bencic became the second Swiss wildcard player to win against a top-5 seed at Indian Wells after veteran Martina Hingis. Over the past few days, Bencic has defeated several big names, including Qatar Open champion and 17th seed Amanda Anisimova and 13th seed Diana Shnaider.
The Swiss then scripted the biggest upset of the WTA edition during her fourth round, avenging her Australian Open defeat against Coco Gauff despite losing the first set. Bencic will make her second Indian Wells quarter-final appearance and could potentially re-enter the top-40 WTA rankings should she defeat the fifth seed to make her semi-final debut at the desert.
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The task won’t be easy, as Madison Keys is getting stronger with each competition. The American has not exactly dominated the battlefield, with seven of her last nine matches going the distance. This pairing took on each other twice in 2022, with Keys winning in Doha and Bencic emerging victorious in Charleston, however, they haven’t played each other since.
Form
- Madison Keys: W-W-W-W-W
- Belinda Bencic: W-W-W-W-L
Head-to-head record
- Matches – 4
- Madison Keys – 2
- Belinda Bencic – 2
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Stats
Madison Keys
- Keys has a 17-1 win-loss record in 2025 so far.
- Keys has a 14-13 win-loss record at Indian Wells.
- Keys reached the third round at Indian Wells 2024.
Belinda Bencic
- Bencic has a 17-4 win-loss record in the 2025 season.
- Bencic has a 13-8 in Indian Wells.
- Bencic reached the second round at Indian Wells 2023.
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Madison Keys vs Belinda Bencic: Betting tips and odds
- Moneyline: Keys -135, Bencic +105
- Spread: Keys -1.5 (+160), Bencic +1.5 (-235)
- Total Games: Over 21.5 (-120), Under 21.5 (-118)
Prediction
Time and again, Keys has showcased her incredible ability to handle challenging situations, showcasing her never-say-die attitude and composure during crucial stretches. While Bencic has also impressed in 2025, clinching the Abu Dhabi Open title and advancing to the fourth round of the Australian Open, Keys will be confident in maintaining her stellar form and adding another historic chapter to her campaign at Tennis Paradise.
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Result: Madison Keys will win in three sets.
Where and how to watch the live streaming and TV broadcast of quarter-final match between Madison Keys and Belinda Bencic at the Indian Wells Open 2025?
Fans in India can catch the quarter-final match between Madison Keys and Belinda Bencic on the WTA TV and Tennis Channel. Viewers in the United Kingdom can tune in to Sky UK for live coverage of the Indian Wells tournament, while in the USA, Tennis Channel holds the broadcast rights.
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