Taylor Fritz vs Matteo Berrettini prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Miami Open 2025

Matteo Berrettini sets up Miami showdown with Taylor Fritz for the fifth time at a tour-level event. 

Matteo Berrettini quelled a late challenge by Alex de Minaur on Tuesday evening in Miami to record his best-ever result at the event. The 6-3 7-6(7) loss by De Minaur to Berrettini sends the Italian into the quarter-final stage of the Miami Open 2025.   

The two-hour face-off witnessed Berrettini go up 3-1 against the Australian and deny the World No. 10 a spot in the last eight. Instead of De Minaur, it will be 28-year-old Berrettini taking on 27-year-old Taylor Fritz in the last eight. The Italian has been without a win until this year’s Miami Open faces Fritz, whom he has never beaten on tour.   

Also Read: Miami Open 2025: Updated schedule, fixtures, results, live streaming details

Earlier in the day, third-seed American Taylor Fritz ended Australian lucky loser Adam Walton’s Miami Open run, 6-3, 7-5, to advance to the last eight at the Hard Rock Stadium. The top-ranked American made the quarter-finals in Miami for the first time in 2023 before losing to Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets.

Fritz is yet to drop a set in Miami this year. His Italian foe in the upcoming quarter-final lost a set in his opening round match to Frenchman Hugo Gaston.

Match Details

• Tournament: Miami Open 2025 Men’s Singles
• Round: Quarter-final
• Date: March 27
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, United States
• Surface: Hard

Preview

Italy’s Matteo Berrettini eased into his first quarter-final of the Miami Masters after downing Alex de Minaur in straight sets. The final scoreline doesn’t show that Berrettini needed five match points in the second set tiebreak to confirm his place in the last eight. The Italian will now make his first appearance in the quarter-final stage of a Masters 1000 event since Madrid in 2021. 

Also Read: Miami Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money and points on offer

Fritz, meanwhile, advanced to his 13th ATP Masters 1000 quarter-final over another Australian – Adam Walton. Fritz, facing Walton for the first time on tour, ran into some headwinds in the decider. Walton fought Fritz hard and kept the score at 5–5 until the Australian lost his serve in the eleventh game. The American held serve to beat Walton on love in the final game and earn a spot in the last eight. 

Taylor Fritz is seeded to meet Alexander Zverev in the last four. Fritz has dominated the German in 2024, winning four of the five times they clashed last season. Fritz and Seb Korda are the only Americans left in the men’s singles draw after Grigor Dimitrov bundled out Brandon Nakashima for a 6-4, 7-5 win in 84 minutes.

Form

• Taylor Fritz: W-W-W-L-W
• Matteo Berrettini: W-W-W-L-W 

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 4
• Taylor Fritz: 4
• Matteo Berrettini: 0

Also Read: Miami Open: Full list of title winners

Stats

Taylor Fritz:

• Fritz has a 13-5  win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• Fritz has a 12-8 win-loss record in Miami.
• Fritz has won 61% of matches played on hard courts.

Matteo Berrettini:

• Berrettini has a 9-6 win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• Berrettini has a 3-3 win-loss record in Miami.
• Berrettini has won 56% of matches played on hard courts.

Taylor Fritz vs Matteo Berrettini: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Fritz -170, Berrettini +150.
• Spread: Fritz -2.5 (+102), Berrettini +2.5 (-125). 
• Total games: Over 23.5 (-135), Under  24.5 (-107).

Match Prediction

Fritz will meet big-serving Berrettini for a chance to progress to his first semi-final in Florida. All four of their encounters on hard courts have gone in Fritz’s favour. The World No. 4 has had to endure a sluggish start to the 2025 season reaching only one quarter-final this season at Delray Beach in February.  

Also Read: Top five youngest men’s singles champions at Miami Open

Now Berrettini stands in the way of Fritz and a career-best semi-final appearance on home turf. The Rome resident has played a few close matches against Fritz, most recently at the 2024 US Open. The Italian 10-time ATP champion’s progress in Florida has been noteworthy. He will look to extend his winning streak to four and pocket his tenth win of the season at Fritz’s expense. 

However, his disappointing 10–26 record against top players is a reminder of the Italian’s struggles. Fritz’s home advantage and his continued mastery over Berrettini will ensure he gives his supporters what they want.

Result: Fritz will win in three sets.

Where and how to watch the live streaming and TV broadcast of the quarter-final between Taylor Fritz and Matteo Berrettini at the Miami Open 2025?

Taylor Fritz and Matteo Berrettini’s quarter-final match will be live telecast and streamed on Sony Network in India. Sky UK is the official broadcaster in the United Kingdom, while the Tennis Channel fulfills that role within the United States. 

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