Tommy Paul vs Cameron Norrie prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Indian Wells Open 2025

Cameron Norrie won the 2021 Indian Wells edition.

Former Indian Wells champion Cameron Norrie is currently out of the list of top 70 players, reflecting the decline of the British star. From being a regular top-10 to being relatively unrecognised, Norrie has undergone a turbulent career.

Injuries and poor form haven’t helped his cause, and Norrie’s start to the new season hasn’t been very inspiring. Despite competing in events without several top seeds, the 29-year-old has failed to hit the ground running. However, his start to the Indian Wells has been promising, with wins over Luca Nardi and Jiri Lehecka.

Also Read: Indian Wells Open 2025: Updated schedule, fixtures, results, live streaming details

For a spot in the fourth round, Norrie must defeat World No. 10 Tommy Paul, who has gained rapid strides over the past few months. After a decent Australian Open, where the American advanced to the quarterfinals, Paul broke into the top-10 rankings for the first time but faced setbacks in Dallas and Mexico.

Match details

• Tournament: Indian Wells Open 2025
• Stage: Third round
• Date: March 10 (Monday)
• Time: TBD
• Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, California, USA
• Surface: Hard Court (outdoor)

Preview

While Norrie has struggled for form since the past year and a half, his start to the campaign at the desert has been impressive so far. Luca Nardi, who knocked out Novak Djokovic last year, was decisively beaten by the British star. 23rd seed Jiri Lehecka, who defeated Carlos Alcaraz at the recently concluded Qatar Open 2025, was also downed by Norrie in a closely fought three-setter.

Also Read: Indian Wells Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money and points on offer

Norrie has shown signs of improvement so far at the BNP Paribas Open 2025, but his biggest test comes up against Tommy Paul, who has been striking the ball well this year. The American is certainly tough to deal with, as apart from her long range and agility on the court, she also has a superb serve.

The third round of the Indian Wells Open 2025 marks the pair’s first exchange since 2022.

Form

• Tommy Paul: W-L-W-L-W
• Cameron Norrie: W-W-L-L-W

Head-to-Head

• Matches – 4
• Tommy Paul – 1
• Cameron Norrie – 3

Cameron Norrie has the upper hand in this rivalry, but the duo hasn’t met since 2022. Their last exchange came at the 2022 Wimbledon Championships, with the former World No. 9 Norrie winning in straight sets.

Also Read: Indian Wells Open: Full list of winners

Stats

Tommy Paul

• Paul has a 10-5 win-loss record in 2025 so far.
• Paul has a 12-6 win-loss record at Indian Wells.
• Paul was a semifinalist at Indian Wells 2024.

Cameron Norrie

• Norrie has a 7-6 win-loss record in 2025 so far.
• Norrie has a 15-5 win-loss record at Indian Wells.
• Norrie reached the fourth round at Indian Wells in 2024.

Also Read: Top 10 players to watch at Indian Wells Open 2025

Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Paul -135, Norrie +110
• Spread: Paul -1.5 (1.91), Norrie 1.5 (1.91)
• Total games: Over 21.5 (+1.85), Under 21.5 (=1.91)

Prediction

With the shock eliminations of top seed Alexander Zverev and fourth seed Casper Ruud, there is an air of unpredictability in the tournament.

Norrie certainly possesses the skillset to upset Paul, especially given his previous title-winning experience in California. However, ninth seed Paul has been in impressive form this season and will undoubtedly be a tough opponent to defeat. The slower court conditions witnessed throughout the tournament could work in Norrie’s favor, potentially opening the door for a stunning upset.

Also Read: Top five title favourites in men’s singles at Indian Wells Open 2025

Prediction: Cameron Norrie will win in three sets.

Where and how to watch the live streaming and TV broadcast of the third-round match between Tommy Paul and Cameron Norrie at the Indian Wells Open 2025?

The Sony Network will cover the Indian Wells Open 2025 third-round match between Tommy Paul and Cameron Norrie in India, complemented by its streaming service, SonyLiv.

Viewers in the United Kingdom can tune in to Sky UK for live coverage of the Indian Wells tournament. Tennis Channel offers live streaming of the ATP-1000 event within the United States.

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