ISL 2024-25 Playoffs: Qualification scenarios for all teams explained
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Eleven of the thirteen teams still have a good chance of making it to the ISL playoffs.
We are heading into the business period of the 2024-25 Indian Super League (ISL) season as teams are gearing up to qualify for the playoffs. The race for the top six certainly looks heated with 11 teams still in the running mathematically.
The 2022-23 ISL season saw Odisha FC clinch the sixth spot with 30 points whereas Chennaiyin FC took the sixth spot in the 2024-25 ISL season with 27 points. With 13 teams in the mix this time around, we can expect 36 points as a probable cutoff for the top last playoff berth.
As of 28th January 2024, 45 points guarantee a playoff berth. However, this will keep dropping as the season progresses as the teams around the fifth, sixth, and seventh spots drop points.
Here is the scenario based on keeping 36 points as the cutoff for a playoff spot:
Mohun Bagan SG – 40 points
Currently, Mohun Bagan lead the ISL standings by seven points. Fighting for the ISL Shield, the Mariners are almost guaranteed a playoff berth already. If they win 7 of their 8 remaining ISL games, they will be assured a top-of-the-league finish.
FC Goa – 33 points
If FC Goa win two of their remaining seven ISL games, they should qualify for the playoffs. The Gaurs need to win all their games and hope Mohun Bagan drop at least five points to win the ISL Shield. They will face the Mariners on 8th March 2025.
Jamshedpur FC – 31 points
Khalid Jamil’s side are on a magical run. Similar to FC Goa, at least three wins in their remaining seven games should secure them a playoff spot. Jamshedpur FC play the Gaurs next on 2nd February and this will be an important game to see who secures a top-two berth.
Bengaluru FC – 28 points
After a strong start, Bengaluru FC have faltered in the last few weeks. The Blues need to win three out of their remaining six ISL games to give themselves a good chance of finishing in the playoff spots. If they lose more than two games, they could be in trouble.
Mumbai City FC – 27 points
It came as a surprise to many to the Islanders battling for a playoff berth and not the ISL Shield itself. Mumbai City FC have seven games remaining, of which they need at least three wins. Similar to BFC, they shouldn’t lose more than two games to have a strong chance to finish in the top six.
NorthEast United – 25 points
Currently occupying the sixth spot, NorthEast United have drawn each of their last four games. They need four wins in their last seven games to have a probable chance to finish in the top six. Four of their remaining seven ISL games are at home.
Odisha FC – 24 points
Similar to NorthEast, Odisha FC need to win four of their seven ISL games to stake a claim for the top six spots. Interestingly, the Juggernauts face NorthEast United on 3rd February with all other teams keeping an eye on this fixture.
Kerala Blasters – 21 points
With six ISL games remaining, Kerala Blasters need five wins to have a strong chance to make the playoffs. They face Mohun Bagan, FC Goa, and Mumbai City in the remaining quota and this could make things quite tricky for the Blasters.
Punjab FC – 20 points
Punjab FC have eight games to go with six wins needed. While the Shers started very well and looked comfortable in the top six, their recent form has ruined their chances. Punjab FC have not won in their last seven outings and this loss of momentum could hurt their chances.
Chennaiyin FC – 18 points
With just one win in their last 11 ISL games, Chennaiyin FC have their backs to the wall. Six wins in their remaining six league games will give them a chance at finishing in the playoff spots once again. However they have not won consecutive games even once this season!
East Bengal – 17 points
Currently 11th, East Bengal need to register roughly six wins in their remaining seven games to make it to the playoffs. They have won just once in eight away games and interestingly, four of their last seven ISL fixtures are away from home.
Hyderabad FC – 13 points
With seven ISL games remaining, The Nizams can reach a maximum of 34 points. While they are still mathematically in contention, Hyderabad FC will have to win all their remaining games to have a chance to qualify for the playoffs and this looks unlikely.
Mohammedan SC – 11 points
Mohammedan Sporting Club can reach a maximum of 32 points if they win their remaining seven ISL games. While mathematically possible, the Black Panthers are unlikely to make it to the playoffs in current form.
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