Jannik Sinner vs Marin Cilic prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Beijing Open 2025

Jannik Sinner recently conceded his World No. 1 spot after losing to Alcaraz at the US Open finals.
Jannik Sinner enters the 2025 China Open as the top seed and one of the outright title contenders. After his recent US Open final defeat and the end of his 65-week reign as World No.1, the Italian has been working on fine-tuning his game, making what he described as “lots of small changes” to regain his edge.
He begins his Asian swing campaign against Marin Cilic, a former finalist in Beijing, and sits in a favourable half of the draw, with possible clashes against Karen Khachanov in the quarters and either Alex de Minaur or Mensik in the semi-finals.
The Italian is aiming for his third trophy of the season and arrives in Beijing motivated to go one step further than last year, when he finished as runner-up to Carlos Alcaraz in a thrilling final. With five top-10 players in the field, including Medvedev, Zverev, and Rublev, the China Open promises an interesting couple of weeks.
Match details
- Tournament: China Open 2025
- Round: Round 1
- Date: September 25
- Venue: National Tennis Center, Beijing, China
- Surface: Hard Court
Preview
At 36 years of age, Cilic has enjoyed a good past few months, including a fourth-round appearance at SW19, where he went on to beat local hope Jack Draper in the second round. However, his next two appearances in hard court competitions at the US Open and Hanghzou Open ended in first round exits.
Only once have these two met on tour, way back in 2021 at the Davis Cup quarter-finals. After dropping the opening set, the Croatian lost a tight tiebreaker. Sinner went on to clinch the deal and holds the lead in this rivalry.
Form
- Jannik Sinner: L-W-W-W-W
- Marin Cilic: L-L-L-W-W
Head-to-head record
- Matches: 1
- Jannik Sinner: 1
- Marin Cilic: 0
Stats
Jannik Sinner
- Sinner has a 37-5 win-loss record in the 2025 season
- Sinner has a 9-1 win-loss record in China
- Sinner has won 80% of matches played on hard courts
Marin Cilic
- Cilic has a 22-15 win-loss record in the 2025 season
- Cilic has a 13-6 win-loss record in China
- Cilic has won 63% of the matches played on hard courts
Jannik Sinner vs Marin Cilic: Betting tips and odds
- Moneyline: Sinner -5000, Cilic +1800
- Spread: Sinner -6.5 (-120), Cilic +6.5 (+102)
- Total Games: Over 17.5 (-120), Under 17.5 (+100)
- 1st Set Moneyline: Sinner -1400, Cilic +850
- 1st Set Total Games: Over 8.5 (-125), Under 8.5 (+100)
Match prediction
Jannik Sinner is strongly tipped to win this clash, with his superior skills, fitness, and all-around consistency far surpassing Marin Čilić’s level at this stage of his career. While Čilić’s big serve and experience may keep games competitive early on, Sinner’s superior return game and baseline control should wear him down over the course of the match.
Expect the Italian to dictate rallies and close out the contest efficiently, securing a comfortable victory to advance at the China Open 2025.
Result: Jannik Sinner to win in straight sets.
Where and how to watch live telecast and streaming of Jannik Sinner vs Marin Cilic, first-round match at China Open 2025?
Indian viewers can watch the ATP-500 China Open 2025 round-one match between Jannik Sinner and Marin Cilic on Discovery India. Sky Sports will broadcast the contest live in the United Kingdom. The Tennis Channel is the official broadcaster in the United States.
What is the head-to-head record between Jannik Sinner and Marin Cilic?
Sinner leads 1-0, having beaten Cilic at the 2021 Davis Cup quarter-finals.
What are the betting odds for Jannik Sinner vs Marin Cilic at the Beijing Open 2025?
Sinner is the heavy favorite at -5000, while Cilic is +1800 on the moneyline.
When and where is the Sinner vs Cilic match at the Beijing Open 2025?
The match will be played on September 25 at the National Tennis Center, Beijing.
Where can fans watch the live telecast of Sinner vs Cilic?
In India, it’s on Discovery India; Sky Sports in the UK; and Tennis Channel in the USA.
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Aniruddh Seshadri Iyer is a passionate sports journalist at Khel Now, specializing in tennis and Olympic sports. An engineer by training, he found his storytelling passion through iconic Grand Slam and Olympic moments. Known for sharp analysis and insightful coverage, he draws inspiration from Novak Djokovic’s resilience. Outside journalism, he enjoys reading, traveling, and playing the guitar.
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